Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Stoke City with a 23.9% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Liverpool with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 42.2% | 54.9% | +12.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 59.7% | 47.7% | −12.0 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 73.3% | 84.0% | +10.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 53.5% | 45.7% | −7.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 58.6% | 63.9% | +5.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 10.7% | 6.1% | −4.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 18.2% | 13.7% | −4.5 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 6.6% | 2.5% | −4.1 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 3.2% | 7.1% | +3.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.7% | 21.5% | −3.2 |
