Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Norwich City beat West Bromwich Albion with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 11 (before the first match) against those on January 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 56.6% | 43.2% | −13.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 46.7% | 58.6% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 34.7% | 24.7% | −10.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 41.1% | 33.3% | −7.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 52.2% | 59.7% | +7.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 31.0% | 37.6% | +6.6 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 47.3% | 53.5% | +6.2 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 68.0% | 73.3% | +5.3 |
| Tottenham | Champion | 11.7% | 6.6% | −5.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 8.1% | 3.7% | −4.4 |
