Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Swansea City beat Aston Villa with a 17.1% chance and Bolton Wanderers beat Everton with a 12.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 1 (before the first match) against those on January 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 37.1% | 21.9% | −15.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 53.0% | 67.3% | +14.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 66.8% | 52.8% | −14.0 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 57.4% | 68.2% | +10.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 20.6% | 30.7% | +10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 37.9% | 47.9% | +10.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 44.7% | 35.9% | −8.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 38.7% | 47.3% | +8.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 47.4% | 56.0% | +8.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.8% | 23.4% | −8.4 |
