Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Manchester United with a 4.6% chance, Aston Villa beat Chelsea with a 13.7% chance, and Sunderland beat Manchester City with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on January 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 53.3% | 37.9% | −15.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 60.7% | 47.4% | −13.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 20.6% | 31.8% | +11.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 36.3% | 44.7% | +8.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 37.5% | 45.5% | +8.0 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 32.0% | 38.7% | +6.6 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 26.7% | 20.6% | −6.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 47.3% | 42.0% | −5.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.7% | 37.1% | −4.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 62.4% | 66.8% | +4.3 |
