Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Everton with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 27 (before the first match) against those on December 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 28.0% | 15.2% | −12.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 53.6% | 41.6% | −11.9 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 45.3% | 56.6% | +11.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 29.4% | 18.7% | −10.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 39.0% | 29.5% | −9.5 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 57.4% | 66.6% | +9.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 27.2% | 35.1% | +7.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 43.1% | 50.3% | +7.2 |
| Swansea City | Relegation | 21.7% | 27.9% | +6.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 34.5% | 40.3% | +5.8 |
