Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Sunderland with a 11.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 21 (before the first match) against those on November 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 69.7% | 57.4% | −12.3 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 67.6% | 76.0% | +8.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 34.8% | 43.1% | +8.3 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 21.0% | 12.9% | −8.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 46.0% | 53.6% | +7.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 34.6% | 27.2% | −7.4 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 23.8% | 16.5% | −7.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 38.0% | 45.3% | +7.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 32.1% | 39.0% | +6.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 21.2% | 16.6% | −4.5 |
