Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat West Bromwich Albion with a 15.1% chance and Stoke City beat Tottenham with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City | Relegation | 27.9% | 17.6% | −10.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 66.6% | 57.0% | −9.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 80.9% | 71.4% | −9.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.6% | 26.5% | +9.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 29.5% | 38.0% | +8.5 |
| Norwich City | Relegation | 20.3% | 11.9% | −8.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.6% | 64.8% | +8.1 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 67.8% | 59.7% | −8.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 50.3% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 15.0% | 22.3% | +7.3 |
