Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Queens Park Rangers beat Stoke City with a 22.0% chance and Liverpool beat Chelsea with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 51.8% | 38.0% | −13.8 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 28.8% | 17.7% | −11.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 37.6% | 28.2% | −9.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 58.6% | 67.6% | +9.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.9% | 33.4% | +8.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 29.0% | 34.6% | +5.6 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 15.6% | 21.0% | +5.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 27.4% | 32.4% | +5.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 30.6% | 34.8% | +4.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 12.7% | 9.0% | −3.8 |
