Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Arsenal with a 7.1% chance and West Ham beat Tottenham with a 15.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 40.1% | 50.5% | +10.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 65.9% | 55.8% | −10.1 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 62.8% | 54.2% | −8.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 34.1% | 25.7% | −8.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 19.1% | 26.4% | +7.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 26.2% | 19.5% | −6.6 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 23.5% | 30.0% | +6.4 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 27.9% | 33.9% | +6.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 24.0% | 29.5% | +5.5 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 17.4% | 12.6% | −4.8 |
