Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Everton with a 14.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 39.6% | 26.2% | −13.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 30.1% | 40.1% | +10.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 32.5% | 23.5% | −9.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 25.6% | 34.1% | +8.5 |
| Birmingham City | Champions League | 19.8% | 11.6% | −8.2 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 34.3% | 42.3% | +8.0 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 20.8% | 27.9% | +7.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 43.9% | 50.9% | +7.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 17.6% | 24.0% | +6.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 21.4% | 16.0% | −5.4 |
