Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackpool beat Liverpool with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 46.2% | 57.1% | +10.9 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 42.8% | 32.8% | −10.0 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 29.5% | 38.9% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 55.8% | 47.0% | −8.9 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 33.9% | 25.3% | −8.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 25.7% | 33.3% | +7.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 50.5% | 56.8% | +6.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 12.7% | 6.9% | −5.8 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 8.8% | 14.5% | +5.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 85.9% | 91.5% | +5.5 |
