Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackpool beat Newcastle with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | Relegation | 33.3% | 20.8% | −12.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 57.1% | 68.5% | +11.4 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 23.7% | 32.5% | +8.8 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 56.6% | 65.0% | +8.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 29.7% | 22.2% | −7.5 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 23.3% | 16.8% | −6.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 78.2% | 84.6% | +6.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 37.6% | 43.9% | +6.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 16.1% | 21.4% | +5.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 10.4% | 15.7% | +5.3 |
