Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Fulham with a 15.6% chance and Stoke City beat Blackburn Rovers with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 20 (before the first match) against those on March 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 77.7% | 40.8% | −36.9 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 29.0% | 61.2% | +32.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 16.7% | 43.9% | +27.2 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 12.9% | 38.6% | +25.6 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 55.1% | 79.4% | +24.4 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 23.2% | 3.1% | −20.1 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 13.2% | 32.9% | +19.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 81.0% | 98.7% | +17.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 19.3% | 4.6% | −14.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.5% | 34.0% | +14.5 |
