Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Manchester City with a 17.0% chance and Newcastle beat Birmingham City with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 13 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 12.7% | 57.8% | +45.2 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 29.9% | 49.4% | +19.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 79.7% | 99.0% | +19.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 77.8% | 59.0% | −18.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 53.7% | 72.1% | +18.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 31.0% | 48.9% | +17.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 22.9% | 6.3% | −16.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 49.3% | 64.9% | +15.7 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 17.1% | 1.5% | −15.6 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 18.4% | 32.7% | +14.3 |
