Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Stoke City with a 21.3% chance, Blackpool beat Sunderland with a 20.1% chance, and Wolverhampton beat Liverpool with a 13.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 35.6% | 23.5% | −12.1 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 66.2% | 55.4% | −10.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 16.0% | 25.5% | +9.5 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 69.3% | 78.6% | +9.3 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 18.1% | 25.9% | +7.8 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 13.3% | 7.1% | −6.2 |
| Blackpool | Europa League | 6.4% | 12.4% | +6.0 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 19.3% | 13.5% | −5.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 40.6% | 45.8% | +5.2 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 11.1% | 16.1% | +5.0 |
