Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackpool beat Stoke City with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 6 (before the first match) against those on December 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champions League | 62.1% | 72.2% | +10.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 69.1% | 77.8% | +8.7 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.0% | 18.4% | −8.6 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 21.5% | 13.2% | −8.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.7% | 49.3% | +7.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Relegation | 64.9% | 57.7% | −7.3 |
| Blackpool | Relegation | 20.4% | 13.1% | −7.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 12.9% | 7.2% | −5.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 16.3% | 21.4% | +5.1 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 8.0% | 12.3% | +4.3 |
