Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Middlesbrough with a 18.4% chance and Hull City beat Arsenal with a 6.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 71.4% | 56.3% | −15.2 |
| Hull City | Relegation | 37.3% | 24.5% | −12.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 28.0% | 15.2% | −12.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 41.1% | 29.6% | −11.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.0% | 62.0% | +11.0 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 29.7% | 21.6% | −8.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 18.7% | 10.8% | −7.9 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 35.6% | 43.0% | +7.3 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 50.5% | 57.7% | +7.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 47.4% | 54.0% | +6.6 |
