Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
SunderlandRelegation28.2%17.0%−11.2
Manchester CityChampions League19.4%29.7%+10.3
PortsmouthChampions League21.2%12.9%−8.2
ArsenalChampions League63.5%71.4%+8.0
Bolton WanderersRelegation27.8%35.6%+7.9
ArsenalChampion20.7%28.0%+7.3
LiverpoolChampions League57.5%51.0%−6.4
NewcastleRelegation17.0%23.2%+6.2
West HamChampions League13.4%19.1%+5.7
Aston VillaChampions League33.6%39.1%+5.5
Home 39.7%
Draw 28.6%
Away 31.6%
Home 62.9%
Draw 22.5%
Away 14.6%
Home 73.9%
Draw 19.9%
Away 6.2%
Home 54.5%
Draw 24.6%
Away 20.8%
Home 23.1%
Draw 25.4%
Away 51.5%
Home 23.8%
Draw 25.7%
Away 50.5%
Home 49.0%
Draw 26.1%
Away 24.9%
Home 22.6%
Draw 25.3%
Away 52.1%
Home 46.7%
Draw 26.7%
Away 26.6%
Home 48.4%
Draw 26.2%
Away 25.3%