Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Newcastle with a 13.2% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 31 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ArsenalChampions League49.8%63.5%+13.6
Manchester CityChampions League31.2%19.4%−11.9
Hull CityRelegation51.6%40.7%−10.9
Manchester UnitedChampions League60.8%50.1%−10.6
West Bromwich AlbionRelegation47.3%37.2%−10.0
ChelseaChampions League64.0%73.7%+9.7
FulhamRelegation31.0%22.5%−8.4
Manchester UnitedChampion20.3%12.3%−8.0
LiverpoolChampions League50.0%57.5%+7.5
Blackburn RoversChampions League18.6%11.3%−7.3
Home 41.5%
Draw 28.1%
Away 30.4%
Home 36.6%
Draw 29.5%
Away 33.9%
Home 39.2%
Draw 28.8%
Away 32.0%
Home 64.8%
Draw 22.1%
Away 13.2%
Home 54.7%
Draw 24.6%
Away 20.7%
Home 26.7%
Draw 26.8%
Away 46.5%
Home 54.1%
Draw 24.7%
Away 21.1%
Home 36.0%
Draw 29.7%
Away 34.3%
Home 21.6%
Draw 24.9%
Away 53.5%
Home 34.4%
Draw 29.8%
Away 35.9%