Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Everton with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on February 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.5% | 78.7% | +61.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 17.5% | 74.8% | +57.3 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 31.1% | 83.7% | +52.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 19.0% | 66.7% | +47.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 13.1% | 58.5% | +45.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.7% | 97.8% | +44.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 57.4% | 99.9% | +42.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 30.2% | <0.1% | −30.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 28.0% | 0.3% | −27.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 29.2% | 2.8% | −26.4 |
