Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Stoke City beat Aston Villa with a 16.3% chance, Sunderland beat Tottenham with a 19.1% chance, and Fulham beat Arsenal with a 19.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | Relegation | 56.8% | 45.1% | −11.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.2% | 37.6% | −10.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 11.0% | 20.2% | +9.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 40.2% | 31.1% | −9.1 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.7% | 11.6% | −8.1 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 37.3% | 29.2% | −8.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 42.4% | 50.1% | +7.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 27.0% | 19.5% | −7.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 50.0% | 57.4% | +7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 46.5% | 53.7% | +7.2 |
