Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Hull City beat Fulham with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 1 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | Relegation | 37.4% | 19.1% | −18.3 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 53.0% | 35.6% | −17.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 44.4% | 59.8% | +15.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 77.0% | 62.6% | −14.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 22.8% | 36.8% | +14.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 21.0% | 33.9% | +12.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 75.4% | 64.4% | −11.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 21.6% | 30.2% | +8.6 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 12.8% | 5.8% | −7.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 88.4% | 94.3% | +5.8 |
