Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Liverpool with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 23 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 80.2% | 1.5% | −78.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 19.7% | 97.5% | +77.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.1% | 97.8% | +73.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 72.6% | 2.2% | −70.4 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 53.1% | 0.4% | −52.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 13.5% | 65.5% | +52.0 |
| Everton | Europa League | 76.2% | 97.4% | +21.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 31.8% | 11.1% | −20.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 60.9% | 79.9% | +19.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 82.3% | 99.4% | +17.1 |
