Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Manchester United with a 22.3% chance and Tottenham beat Aston Villa with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 11 (before the first match) against those on March 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 63.0% | 40.3% | −22.7 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 36.6% | 58.8% | +22.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 33.8% | 50.6% | +16.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 64.8% | 49.0% | −15.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 90.9% | 79.7% | −11.2 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 4.0% | 10.3% | +6.3 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 37.8% | 43.9% | +6.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 5.1% | 10.0% | +4.9 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 5.8% | 0.9% | −4.9 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 9.1% | 4.5% | −4.5 |
