Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Everton with a 23.2% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ChelseaChampions League51.4%63.3%+11.8
Hull CityRelegation52.6%40.8%−11.8
Bolton WanderersRelegation28.5%17.4%−11.2
Stoke CityRelegation45.8%56.8%+11.1
EvertonChampions League35.8%24.8%−11.0
PortsmouthChampions League22.7%13.7%−9.0
Aston VillaChampions League31.3%40.2%+8.9
Manchester CityChampions League19.5%11.0%−8.5
ChelseaChampion16.4%23.9%+7.5
Blackburn RoversChampions League26.9%34.1%+7.1
Home 73.1%
Draw 20.1%
Away 6.8%
Home 56.8%
Draw 24.1%
Away 19.1%
Home 51.3%
Draw 25.5%
Away 23.2%
Home 36.8%
Draw 29.5%
Away 33.7%
Home 42.5%
Draw 27.9%
Away 29.7%
Home 56.8%
Draw 24.0%
Away 19.1%
Home 25.8%
Draw 26.4%
Away 47.8%
Home 58.0%
Draw 23.7%
Away 18.2%
Home 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Away 21.6%
Home 66.0%
Draw 21.7%
Away 12.2%