Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Middlesbrough with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 30.9% | 20.1% | −10.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 64.3% | 74.0% | +9.7 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 19.0% | 28.3% | +9.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.0% | 40.9% | −7.1 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 45.4% | 38.9% | −6.5 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 10.9% | 17.1% | +6.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 14.8% | 21.0% | +6.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 23.9% | 18.0% | −5.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 8.0% | 13.1% | +5.1 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 2.8% | 6.8% | +4.0 |
