Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Chelsea with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 24 (before the first match) against those on December 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.9% | 52.9% | +12.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 28.3% | 39.0% | +10.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 20.1% | 9.7% | −10.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 51.8% | 41.7% | −10.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 15.2% | 25.0% | +9.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 40.8% | 31.2% | −9.7 |
| Everton | Europa League | 20.6% | 26.4% | +5.7 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 18.0% | 12.7% | −5.3 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 17.1% | 12.7% | −4.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 85.4% | 89.6% | +4.3 |
