Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Arsenal with a 19.9% chance and Sunderland beat Blackburn Rovers with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 65.0% | 48.0% | −17.0 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 25.4% | 38.9% | +13.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 30.3% | 19.0% | −11.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.5% | 31.4% | +8.9 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 22.5% | 13.8% | −8.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 24.4% | 30.9% | +6.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 57.8% | 64.3% | +6.5 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 39.5% | 45.4% | +6.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 78.1% | 83.4% | +5.3 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 6.6% | 2.2% | −4.3 |
