Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Aston Villa with a 16.3% chance and Tottenham beat Manchester City with a 21.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 36.7% | 25.4% | −11.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 21.5% | 12.9% | −8.7 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 32.6% | 24.4% | −8.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 24.5% | 16.3% | −8.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 56.8% | 65.0% | +8.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 50.1% | 57.8% | +7.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 29.5% | 22.5% | −6.9 |
| Everton | Europa League | 19.0% | 25.6% | +6.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 83.4% | 89.4% | +6.0 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 44.9% | 50.8% | +5.9 |
