Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Portsmouth with a 16.6% chance and Stoke City beat Arsenal with a 16.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 29 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 32.9% | 44.9% | +12.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 42.7% | 32.6% | −10.1 |
| Stoke City | Relegation | 50.4% | 41.0% | −9.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 15.5% | 24.8% | +9.3 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 21.2% | 29.5% | +8.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 32.1% | 23.9% | −8.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 44.4% | 36.7% | −7.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 75.9% | 82.8% | +6.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 24.2% | 17.5% | −6.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 87.8% | 94.0% | +6.2 |
