Round 5

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Reading with a 15.0% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on September 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
ChelseaChampions League66.7%51.7%−15.0
West HamRelegation24.2%12.4%−11.8
ChelseaChampion25.6%14.0%−11.6
Birmingham CityRelegation46.5%55.7%+9.3
ArsenalChampions League50.5%59.7%+9.2
LiverpoolChampions League62.8%71.0%+8.2
ReadingChampions League13.1%6.0%−7.0
PortsmouthChampions League17.5%10.6%−6.9
EvertonChampions League36.1%42.8%+6.7
LiverpoolChampion22.5%29.0%+6.5
Home 40.9%
Draw 28.3%
Away 30.8%
Home 27.5%
Draw 27.0%
Away 45.5%
Home 77.2%
Draw 19.1%
Away 3.7%
Home 62.6%
Draw 22.6%
Away 14.8%
Home 55.1%
Draw 24.5%
Away 20.4%
Home 62.4%
Draw 22.6%
Away 15.0%
Home 74.1%
Draw 19.8%
Away 6.1%
Home 56.7%
Draw 24.1%
Away 19.2%
Home 49.9%
Draw 25.8%
Away 24.2%
Home 33.5%
Draw 29.4%
Away 37.1%