Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Newcastle with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 2 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 59.7% | 72.6% | +12.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 45.6% | 56.4% | +10.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 19.2% | 29.5% | +10.3 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 55.7% | 45.9% | −9.9 |
| Everton | Champions League | 42.8% | 34.8% | −8.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 50.2% | 43.3% | −7.0 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 7.7% | 14.5% | +6.8 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 77.2% | 71.0% | −6.2 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 7.3% | 13.0% | +5.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 14.8% | 9.3% | −5.5 |
