Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
LiverpoolChampions League52.3%62.8%+10.4
Birmingham CityRelegation56.1%46.5%−9.6
SunderlandRelegation39.5%47.2%+7.7
ReadingChampions League20.6%13.1%−7.5
Derby CountyRelegation65.8%71.5%+5.7
LiverpoolChampion16.9%22.5%+5.6
TottenhamChampions League24.6%19.1%−5.5
PortsmouthChampions League22.9%17.5%−5.3
Bolton WanderersRelegation11.5%6.3%−5.2
Bolton WanderersChampions League6.3%10.9%+4.6
Home 17.7%
Draw 23.6%
Away 58.7%
Home 60.8%
Draw 23.0%
Away 16.2%
Home 61.6%
Draw 22.8%
Away 15.5%
Home 43.0%
Draw 27.7%
Away 29.3%
Home 58.6%
Draw 23.6%
Away 17.8%
Home 41.9%
Draw 28.0%
Away 30.1%
Home 42.6%
Draw 27.8%
Away 29.6%
Home 58.6%
Draw 23.6%
Away 17.8%
Home 45.5%
Draw 27.0%
Away 27.4%
Home 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Away 21.6%