Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Aston Villa with a 13.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 28 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 53.8% | 82.7% | +29.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 26.2% | <0.1% | −26.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 2.7% | 28.0% | +25.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 78.8% | 58.6% | −20.2 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 90.0% | 70.1% | −19.9 |
| Reading | Relegation | 29.0% | 47.2% | +18.2 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 20.0% | 13.4% | −6.6 |
