Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Portsmouth with a 12.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 5 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 70.1% | 0% | −70.1 |
| Reading | Relegation | 47.2% | 100% | +52.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 58.6% | 100% | +41.4 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 33.6% | 0% | −33.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 66.4% | 100% | +33.6 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 28.0% | 0% | −28.0 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 82.7% | 100% | +17.3 |
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 13.4% | 0% | −13.4 |
