Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Manchester City with a 14.2% chance and Blackburn Rovers beat Portsmouth with a 22.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 20 (before the first match) against those on April 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Europa League | 47.3% | 20.0% | −27.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 56.7% | 78.8% | +22.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 84.4% | 68.3% | −16.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 15.3% | 31.2% | +15.8 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 97.0% | 90.0% | −7.0 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 47.6% | 53.8% | +6.2 |
| Everton | Europa League | 92.7% | 98.3% | +5.6 |
| Reading | Relegation | 25.1% | 29.0% | +3.9 |
