Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Reading beat Liverpool with a 24.2% chance, Middlesbrough beat Arsenal with a 20.7% chance, and West Ham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 26.2% | 39.0% | +12.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 30.1% | 18.2% | −11.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 25.3% | 37.2% | +11.9 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 44.3% | 33.1% | −11.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 76.0% | 65.3% | −10.7 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 55.5% | 63.5% | +8.0 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.7% | −7.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 13.3% | 20.3% | +7.0 |
| Reading | Relegation | 12.4% | 5.6% | −6.8 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 21.8% | 28.4% | +6.6 |
