Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Portsmouth with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 63.5% | 50.4% | −13.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 20.3% | 32.2% | +11.8 |
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 39.0% | 27.8% | −11.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 37.2% | 47.4% | +10.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 65.3% | 55.8% | −9.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 28.4% | 36.5% | +8.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 11.7% | 5.2% | −6.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 12.3% | 18.7% | +6.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 88.9% | 94.7% | +5.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 12.7% | 7.0% | −5.7 |
