Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Birmingham City beat Tottenham with a 10.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 28 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 44.6% | 30.1% | −14.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 26.9% | 17.3% | −9.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 68.6% | 75.7% | +7.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 47.2% | 40.2% | −7.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 16.2% | 23.1% | +6.9 |
| Portsmouth | Champions League | 32.2% | 25.5% | −6.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 55.0% | 61.4% | +6.4 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 15.9% | 21.7% | +5.8 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 84.5% | 89.0% | +4.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 7.1% | 11.5% | +4.4 |
