Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Arsenal with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 63.1% | 51.3% | −11.8 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 57.4% | 45.8% | −11.7 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 31.0% | 42.3% | +11.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.6% | 70.7% | +8.1 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 30.4% | 22.9% | −7.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 55.0% | 62.4% | +7.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 74.2% | 80.9% | +6.7 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 16.6% | 10.4% | −6.2 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 21.7% | 28.0% | +6.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 11.6% | 17.0% | +5.4 |
