Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Charlton Athletic with a 23.9% chance and Wigan Athletic beat Bolton Wanderers with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 26 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 31.5% | 20.9% | −10.6 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 40.2% | 30.4% | −9.8 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 65.2% | 74.2% | +9.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 48.9% | 57.4% | +8.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 23.9% | 15.5% | −8.4 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 41.2% | 32.9% | −8.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 22.0% | 13.9% | −8.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 24.0% | 31.0% | +7.0 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 18.4% | 25.0% | +6.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 56.2% | 62.6% | +6.4 |
