Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Aston Villa with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 17 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | Relegation | 29.6% | 19.1% | −10.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 25.7% | 15.4% | −10.3 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 28.0% | 37.3% | +9.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 45.8% | 54.0% | +8.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 27.8% | 35.1% | +7.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 17.5% | 10.5% | −7.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 16.5% | 9.8% | −6.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.3% | 57.7% | +6.3 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 29.8% | 23.6% | −6.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 22.9% | 28.9% | +6.0 |
