Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Everton with a 10.9% chance, Blackburn Rovers beat Manchester United with a 7.5% chance, and Sunderland beat Middlesbrough with a 7.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 69.0% | 54.8% | −14.3 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 31.2% | 41.2% | +10.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 66.0% | 56.2% | −9.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 30.6% | 39.4% | +8.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 32.5% | 23.9% | −8.6 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 40.3% | 48.9% | +8.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 56.9% | 65.2% | +8.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 29.8% | 22.0% | −7.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 15.2% | 8.5% | −6.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 33.6% | 40.2% | +6.6 |
