Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Charlton Athletic beat Middlesbrough with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on February 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 29.5% | 98.4% | +68.9 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 36.9% | 94.4% | +57.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 35.2% | 92.4% | +57.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 49.8% | <0.1% | −49.8 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 52.7% | 99.8% | +47.1 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 18.2% | 63.3% | +45.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 61.0% | 99.2% | +38.2 |
| Everton | Champions League | 31.7% | 0.8% | −30.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 30.8% | <0.1% | −30.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 28.2% | 0.8% | −27.4 |
