Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Everton with a 10.0% chance and Wigan Athletic beat West Bromwich Albion with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 35.1% | 22.0% | −13.1 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 57.1% | 67.2% | +10.1 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 35.3% | 45.3% | +10.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 31.0% | 40.6% | +9.6 |
| Charlton Athletic | Champions League | 32.0% | 41.3% | +9.3 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 39.2% | 30.3% | −8.8 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 39.1% | 30.5% | −8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 58.0% | 49.7% | −8.3 |
| Everton | Champions League | 21.8% | 14.5% | −7.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 80.9% | 86.5% | +5.6 |
