Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Everton with a 8.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on February 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 24.4% | 99.5% | +75.1 |
| Wigan Athletic | Relegation | 52.5% | <0.1% | −52.5 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 41.0% | 91.3% | +50.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 52.4% | 99.9% | +47.5 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 13.1% | 58.9% | +45.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 36.7% | 76.0% | +39.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.6% | 97.7% | +35.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 65.8% | >99.9% | +34.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 32.5% | <0.1% | −32.5 |
| Everton | Champions League | 32.5% | 0.4% | −32.1 |
