Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portsmouth beat Fulham with a 16.7% chance and Middlesbrough beat Manchester City with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 29 (before the first match) against those on April 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 71.8% | 48.6% | −23.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 51.8% | 74.2% | +22.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.4% | 61.3% | +22.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 48.5% | 34.4% | −14.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 39.3% | 25.5% | −13.8 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 48.6% | 61.1% | +12.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 13.0% | 6.6% | −6.5 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 98.4% | 94.7% | −3.6 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 1.6% | 5.3% | +3.6 |
