Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Middlesbrough with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on May 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 57.8% | 0% | −57.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 59.2% | 100% | +40.8 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 62.1% | 100% | +38.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 36.4% | 0% | −36.4 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 25.6% | 54.5% | +28.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 32.2% | 54.5% | +22.3 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 79.6% | 100% | +20.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 64.9% | 45.6% | −19.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 63.7% | 45.6% | −18.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 6.7% | 0% | −6.7 |
