Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Wigan Athletic with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on April 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 52.7% | 79.5% | +26.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 36.5% | 62.7% | +26.2 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 23.8% | 1.4% | −22.5 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 31.4% | 49.7% | +18.3 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Europa League | 49.0% | 31.4% | −17.6 |
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 75.9% | 59.1% | −16.8 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 70.8% | 61.0% | −9.8 |
| Wigan Athletic | Europa League | 10.5% | 3.7% | −6.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 47.1% | 52.3% | +5.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 39.3% | 43.7% | +4.4 |
