Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Wigan Athletic beat Manchester City with a 17.9% chance, Portsmouth beat West Ham with a 16.4% chance, and Fulham beat Chelsea with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 15 (before the first match) against those on March 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth | Relegation | 90.9% | 75.9% | −15.0 |
| Birmingham City | Relegation | 59.3% | 70.8% | +11.4 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 6.2% | 0.9% | −5.4 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 47.5% | 52.7% | +5.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 32.3% | 36.5% | +4.2 |
| Manchester City | Europa League | 3.9% | 0.5% | −3.4 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 46.7% | 50.1% | +3.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Champions League | 27.0% | 23.8% | −3.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 28.3% | 31.4% | +3.1 |
